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The ATM Fees and the dog that did not bark

[Thanks to TheOtherMaven for correcting my mistake. The Holmes mystery is The Silver Blaze, not the Hound of Baskervilles. Sorry for my mistake].Hope I am not spoiling it for people who are still...

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My letter to AFN (not because of his words but because of the lies)

This is the text of the letter I sent to AFN asking them to withdraw support for Rush. I have also signed the petition in whitehouse.gov and asked my daughter to call all her friends to sign the...

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Miasandry (i.e. Anti-male bigotry). Poll

I like this blog. He has pretty interesting take on stuff and has very detailed Nate Silverish statistical analysis.Things like:Oil consumption worldwide will never exceed $4 Trillion/year, no matter...

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What projects weakness?

Romney campaign repeatedly attacks the President for creating an "image of weakness".Now think for a moment what projects weakness? What encourages the enemy?When they see us divided they are...

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Hang Ryan abortion response around GOP's neck.

After talking so much about death panels deciding the care of elders, what is GOP's position on abortion? Legislators, (more than 80% male by the way) will decide who can get an abortion and when. Taht...

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How could one game Nate Silver?

Nate Silver's statistical model is extremely good. Almost everyone on both sides understand his model is the closest thing we have to unspun unvarnished data distilled to a few numbers most people can...

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The fate of 90-99% ters.

Long back I read sci-fi story, real sci-fi not a magical fantasy masquerading as sci-fi. It was set on a planet with a weird orbit. The government astronomers discover that the planet is going to get...

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The efficiency of private sector

Romney in the debate, and Republicans all the time, chant this mantra, "Private sector is a lot more efficient than Government will ever be". I think it is time we deconstruct this, and blow it out of...

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Improving in Nate Silver.

Quick stats: (oct 14 8PM)Now cast O improving winning chances by 1.1% from 60% to 61.1%In Forecast from 62.9% to 63.1%. Looks like the debate bounce of Romney has topped and has started receding.

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Should USA borrow from China to fund ... a horse?

Romney's big rhetorical zinger in the debate was "My criterion [to fund something ] is should we borrow from China to fund this?"Well, he claimed a tax deduction of 75000$, for his Olympic horse...

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Chicago guys and cooking books.

Remember when the unemployment rate fell below 7.8% and Jack Welch provided the fig leaf to Faux News to cast doubts on the numbers?Jack Welch and his cronies are intimately familiar with cooking...

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Has Nate Silver added the debate bounce?

Nate's Updates:Nate updated his forecast. It is up now to 70.3% in forecast and 72.4% in now-cast. Both numbers are slightly up from previous update yesterday afternoon. And both are up substantially...

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Nate Silver is too kind to Romney!

Silver is over estimating Romney's chances:Well, 538 is projecting Obama's chances for a win as 68%. In today's column he mentioned that there are other sites that give Obama much higher chances than...

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Nate Silver update 10:24 PM Oct 25: 73.1%

73.1% chance of obama win in forecast.75.9% in now cast.

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Sandy's effect on PA

Pennsylvania is basically Pittsburgh on the west end, Philadelphia on the east end and Alabama in the middle.PA does not have early voting. All of us have to vote on the election day. The hurricane...

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Princeton site down. 99% odds for O!

Oct 31, 10:38AM O:318, R:220. Meta Margin 2.6% Beysian prediction 99%Dr Wang alludes to the conflict between tied national races and the swing state results, thus:The "Meta-margin" shows that state...

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We need a "fill-now-pay-later" scheme, NOW!

Quick and short. working day.FEMA should requisition the field fuel trucks from the Army and sweep through neighbourhoods pumping 10 gallons of gas to every car/truck that wants it. Just maintain a...

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FEMA emergency fuel supply suggestion

I wrote a very short diary suggesting FEMA to deliver emergency gasoline supplies in areas affected by the fuel shortage. Since I was at work I did not have the time to explain it well.But looks like...

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How Mitt is able to lie while faking honesty.

Lying is not easy: I think it was George Burns who said, "I found out that the most important thing about acting was being honest. If you can fake honesty, you got it made". It is not easy faking...

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Sure we are going to win. Hope we don't gloat at the wrong people

We are gonna win: I have very strong feeling that Obama is going to carry the day. There is not a single poll aggregator who disagrees. Nate, Sam Wang, pollster, rcp, tpm, grand old electoral-vote.com...

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